Okay, the bottom line question here after
reading this information is probably: What is the best bet? Or,
how do I win?
The heart of the game lies in its patterns
or streaks. Most casinos will offer pencils and blank charts in
order to track the trends. Remember, it is streaks or patterns you
seek. Many baccarat strategists concentrate on riding the streaks,
using a variety of money management theories to parlay their wins.
Shoes start to develop characteristics, with Banker rolling off
5...6...7...8 or more wins in a row. The idea is to ride the streak:
get on, then off at the right time.
Other shoes are described as choppy:
Banker, Player, Banker, Tie, Player, Banker, Banker, Player, etc.
If you cannot discern a recognizable pattern, you have the choice
of not betting at all. Remember, many baccarat players will buy-in,
then sit and wait while the game is being dealt, searching for trends,
observing patiently, then pick a spot. Naturally, this approach
requires great discipline.
Shoes do develop outstanding characteristics
that can change as the hands progress.
I have seen shoes that are absolutely delightful, with outstanding
patterns that repeat time after time. I know, there is not a great
deal of logic to this, but I will submit that there isnt a
great deal of logic to a shooter at a craps table making pass after
pass, while at the next table over, the dice pass every 2 minutes,
each shooter as cold as a glacier.
Same thing is true a player who has been losing a few, winning a
few, but never really getting anywhere but mostly down, the house
edge nipping away at the treasured bankroll. Then, out-of-nowhere
he rips off 5 wins in a row. What is to account for this happening?
There have been numerous theories posed and
written concerning mathematical deviations and streaks in gambling.
I will propose that if you see a noticeable pattern or streak develop,
pay attention to it. If there is a run of 6 bankers in a row, there
is no reason that there can be another one. There are some who upon
seeing a run of three Bankers or Players, will bet against it, figuring
it cant happen again.
It is important to remember that each event or deal, is totally
independent of the preceding and following. But with this understanding,
there are streaks that occur. The old, flip an unbiased coin
100 times example will illustrate my point. That is too small
a sample to get the results of exactly 50 heads and tails each.
The results will most likely be a deviation for one side or the
other, possibly 54 heads to 46 tails. But, within the coin tosses,
you will probably have small runs of 3, 4, or more of
one side of the coin than the other.
The same holds true in baccarat. Despite
the independent nature of these events, baccarat aficionados look
for repetitious patterns in the games outcome. They will tell
you that you can only lose once when betting into a streak, but
lose many times betting against it. I have personally witnessed
regular runs of 5,6,7, or more on one side. Most recently I was
watching a table where 21 Bankers in a row came out. The fellow
sitting next to me kept exclaiming, There cant be more
Bankers after 5 in a row, and proceeded to put his money on
Player for another 6 hands. He had lost 11 in a row when he finally
switched sides. These are the shoes for which one dreams. Three
weeks before, I witnessed 11 Players in a row.
Streaks are the easiest pattern to recognize,
but there are also several others which are easy to follow as well.
One has a pattern of several wins for one side then switches to
the other then back.
Below are several common repeating patterns
you will encounter sooner or later.
Whatever approach you take, consider baccarat.
There is a reason this is the game of choice for the highest of
rollers. One of them, author/publisher/player, Lyle Stuart (Lyle
Stuart on Baccarat) sums it up: The Rule of Three says you
either bet on the streak, or you dont bet at all...If you
bet with the streak and youre wrong, you lose only one wager.
If you bet against it and are stubborn, the casino will soon own
your potato farm.